Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 342.587969 390.841645 445.325299 511.771801 591.120946 683.466627 799.986386
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 277.791524 341.330327 420.224871 526.916431 669.829602 858.196167 1131.383769
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 238.896727 307.565011 398.173564 529.384610 719.569043 993.594561 1434.828856
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 207.678853 276.854521 372.423284 518.344159 743.537069 1092.576392 1706.926030
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 187.462696 257.486731 358.154709 519.223992 782.282257 1218.575343 2054.980630
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 168.211506 236.664874 338.302094 507.318927 796.822341 1305.792581 2358.413741
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 154.579933 222.358356 326.054606 504.880212 825.496388 1422.282915 2754.650302
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 138.340791 202.281847 302.310047 479.594056 808.727266 1449.201412 2969.235860
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 133.825757 199.988951 306.627434 502.771815 884.839070 1676.203960 3727.824881
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 131.046409 200.085039 314.702411 533.550387 981.364741 1971.725249 4798.098232
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 123.736500 191.941391 307.692885 535.007706 1017.993649 2142.222721 5609.256527
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 114.935077 180.504946 293.719056 521.051529 1018.866144 2226.956077 6202.401416
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 106.725679 169.665031 280.206532 507.154922 1019.489125 2317.111398 6888.568245
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 103.254818 166.855923 281.163781 523.064305 1092.637013 2624.816808 8585.542875
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 98.409364 161.157389 276.077718 525.442209 1133.686644 2856.465780 10174.656819
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 92.472341 153.008259 265.518444 514.509125 1139.140307 2983.710278 11415.450987
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 88.393975 147.973031 260.560507 515.380468 1175.670916 3223.266869 13450.043231
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 83.335881 140.743132 250.607795 503.585408 1175.762539 3342.076773 14968.320322
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 79.641771 135.846995 244.958385 501.169140 1201.836284 3563.659712 17381.584420
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 74.061244 126.987284 230.506589 476.114132 1158.172361 3513.629745 17967.924133
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 73.337450 127.489312 235.537163 499.080130 1261.933292 4077.644976 23865.643063
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 73.207956 129.136150 243.124094 529.573696 1397.266250 4848.613461 33339.530382
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 70.669700 125.785935 239.606440 531.017415 1439.510747 5232.536041 40170.614863